Donald Trump Strengthens Lead in 2024 Republican Nomination Race: Poll
Former President of the United States, Donald Trump, who served from 2017 to 2021, has strengthened his position in the race for the Republican Party’s nomination for the 2024 presidential elections, according to a recent Emerson College Polling survey released on Wednesday, September 20th. The survey data shows Trump’s lead has expanded to a significant 47 percentage points over his primary rival, Ron DeSantis.
This latest poll result represents Trump’s largest lead since the inception of polling in June 2020. Notably, the survey reveals that support for Trump’s potential 2024 candidacy has increased by 9 percentage points since the previous survey in August, now standing at an impressive 59%. This surge in support for Trump comes amid legal challenges he is currently facing and his decision to skip the initial Republican debate held in August.
Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling, emphasized the enduring loyalty of Trump’s supporters, stating, “Trump voters remain steadfast. Despite a dip in August following the first Republican debate, his lead has grown, and he has improved his standing compared to before the debate.”
Additionally, the survey shows that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis maintains a consistent 12% of voting intentions, with no significant change from the previous month. Meanwhile, conservative businessman Vivek Ramaswamy has experienced a slight decline, losing two points and now holding 7% of Republican voter preference.
Other prominent candidates in the race, such as former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Vice President Mike Pence, both garnered 5% each. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley received 3% of voting intentions, while Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina secured 2%. Interestingly, 5% of Republican voters remain undecided about their preferred candidate.
The poll also examines the commitment of Republican voters to their chosen candidates, revealing that 63% are firmly committed, while 36% are open to changing their voting choice. Notably, 75% of Trump supporters have expressed unwavering support for him in the primary elections.
Looking ahead to the 2024 presidential election, the survey suggests a tight race, with Trump and the current U.S. President, Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, each commanding 45% of the votes. This result aligns with another recent YouGov/Yahoo News poll, which also reported a tie between Trump and Biden.
The Emerson College Polling survey was conducted on September 17th and 18th among 1,125 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. It’s worth noting that a CNN poll conducted in early September also favored Trump, showing him with a lead of more than 30 points over DeSantis.